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View Diary: Nate Silver Was Wrong!! (52 comments)

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  •  It's a model that works best.... (5+ / 0-)

    ....when there are more polls. For example, his record on calling House races is only okay, mostly since they're harder to poll and aren't polled as frequently. Even though those were tight Senate races, there was not a ton of polling data on them. By contrast, the Presidential race had a massive number of polls for Silver to use, and he then predicted the Presidential race pretty accurately.

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