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View Diary: Nate Silver Was Wrong!! (52 comments)

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  •  The question is (1+ / 0-)
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    What model would you rather use?

    There are mathematical models that weight the probabilities based on the reliability of each poll or other factors. These models can be examined and critiqued in retrospect, and in fact they are.

    Or you can cherrypick the polls you like the results of. You can even do what the Republicans did and pay someone to create fraudulent poll data in order to influence the election.

    Or you can just ignore all polls and pretend that the best thing you can do is nothing.

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