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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 11/8 (afternoon edition) (402 comments)

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  •  Maybe not (6+ / 0-)

    That district is the Cuban one with the large non-Cuban Hispanic population, isn't it?

    I.E. Colombian and Dominican, which are extremely Democratic and are growing faster than the Cuban population.

    I think the biggest target might actually be McIntyre.

    22 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); Intern w/ Gallego for Congress; Office Personnel at CCA.

    by wwmiv on Thu Nov 08, 2012 at 02:21:37 PM PST

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    •  Agreed (7+ / 0-)

      Garcia will be a big target, but I would not be surprised if Romney did worse than McCain in FL-26.

      Political Director, Daily Kos

      by David Nir on Thu Nov 08, 2012 at 02:27:40 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  I'm almost certain (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      wwmiv, JBraden, MichaelNY, bumiputera

      the first four will be the biggest targets.  They ran hard against McIntyre and Matheson, and might indeed get them in the mid-terms.  Rahall had a really underwhelming win (compared to his past percentages) and Romney might have cracked 65% in his district.  They'll get him eventually.  Barrow ended up doing okay considering how hard he was targeted, but the GOP only had a second-tier candidate.  That may change in two years.

      They'll certainly target Garcia, but the district does have a healthy Dem base in it, and the fact that he won by 11 is impressive.

      •  Matheson won't lose (5+ / 0-)

        If Republicans couldn't beat him with a Mormon at the top of the ticket driving up turnout. He'll entrench again.

        24, Practical Progressive Democrat (-4.75, -4.51), DKE Gay Caucus Majority Leader, IN-02; Swingnut. Gregg/Simpson for Governor! Donnelly for Senate! Mullen for Congress!

        by HoosierD42 on Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 02:08:57 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Matheson is a survivor (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

              but it is worth noting that both Matheson and his opponent are Mormons, and some traditional LDS folks may be more comfortable with a white male leader than an African-American woman. If Mayor Love is not his opponent in 2014 that advantage would be erased.

             

          Diehard Swingnut, disgruntled Democrat, age 54, new CA-30

          by Zack from the SFV on Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 10:41:51 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

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