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View Diary: HaHaHa! Redstate Still Claiming PPP Skewed The Polls and Still Attacking Nate Silver (137 comments)

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  •  The polls weren't just correct at the end (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    lcbo, nellgwen

    I have now read several pieces from Republicans that Nate was right at the end.  They need to acknowledge that Nate and the quants were right ALL ALONG.  He had the Obama outcome as the most probable throughout the entire campaign.  Romney NEVER had a chance by the math.  Ever.  This wasn't something that just happened in the last two weeks of the campaign.  Or that things see-sawed back and forth in his model.  Sure Romney went up some, but he was never the most probably to win.  Never.  Ever.

    Arguing about this after the fact is ridiculous.  The only way we could tell if Nate was wrong is to now run the actual election nine more times...and see if Obama wins 9 of 10 outcomes.  I don't think that will happen...

    "When a nation goes down, or a society perishes, one condition may always be found; they forgot where they came from. They lost sight of what had brought them along." --Carl Sandburg

    by Mote Dai on Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 10:17:19 AM PST

    •  Exactly. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      nellgwen, Mote Dai

      I think the lowest probability I saw for an Obama win over the last few months was about 65-68% on Silver's site.

      The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral philosophy... the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

      by lcbo on Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 11:52:14 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

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