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View Diary: AZ Senate: 632,000 votes uncounted (updated: success!) (63 comments)

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  •  if it were one county (2+ / 0-)
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    Chitown Kev, ColoTim

    not reporting we could do that,

    but the early and provisional ballots are from everywhere, and there is no count to try and do the datamining to know how they will turn out.

    they could be 50% latino, they could be 75% republican, they could be military, who knows.

    •  Actually, we do know. (6+ / 0-)

      And many of them are from West Phoenix, where the local Dems ran a huge GOTV push for Latinos For Carmona. Many of those ballots WILL NOT BE COUNTED if the people who cast them think that there is no point in spending another half day basically voting again.

      Lover, fighter, dreamer

      by kate mckinnon on Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 09:48:09 AM PST

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      •  really?? (0+ / 0-)

        Who is tracking where the outstanding early ballots come from? I'd like to find that out if you know.

        Or are you talking about the provisionals? If carmona really does have a 20 point lead in provisionals then he could make up alot from say, 100k of them in Maricopa + 20k in Pima (25k votes there!)

        But I kind of doubt  He will make up another 50k margin from the other outstanding 350k early ballots. It seems unlikely. he would need a 15 point margin in all of those ballots and I just doubt it.

        That said If I were him I would not have conceded yet.

        "We have always known that heedless self-interest was bad morals; we know now that it is bad economics" - F.D.R.

        by biscobosco on Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 11:51:43 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

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