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View Diary: Gallup is even worse than you think when you consider their final swing state poll. (14 comments)

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  •  WOW! To miss the mark this badly is stunning. (1+ / 0-)
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    Shouldn't they feel compelled to at least issue a statement detailing how they could be so monstrously wrong?  This is not just any old poll; this is/was the most quoted/trusted tracker in the nation!  

    •  Gallup is simply a white elephant (2+ / 0-)
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      FightingRegistrar, axel000

      As I pointed out previously (Gallup wrong 3 times in a row but with an asterisk) Gallup's biggest issue is that they are a White Elephant organization.

      They use old methodology when putting together their LV screens. They miss whole swaths of the electorate by focusing on voters who claim they voted in the past. They believe the Romney/Rasmussen type pollsters when they try and measure "enthusiasm". Gallup kept trying to figure out if there would be turnout like in 2010 or 2008 or 2004 - all past elections.

      The ironic thing is (as mentioned in the linked piece), they actually polled pretty well with their RV screen. In fact, their RV poll has been much closer to the election results three times in a row now!

      Gallup should immediately fire their polling director and start fresh with some new blood. At the very least, they should just go with a RV screen until they figure out how to poll again.

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