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View Diary: State poll results: Rasmussen, Mason-Dixon duke it out for last place (12 comments)

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  •  Bias, not house effect (2+ / 0-)
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    grubber, quibblingpotatoes

    The standard nomenclature is for "house effect" to mean difference from typical pollsters. Difference from actual results is called "bias", although that doesn't imply intent.

    The results will shift a bit as the provisional votes trickle in, with the R biases all increasing.

    Pharos may end up standing out even more as the least biased. Unfortunately, following Nate's comments, it also seems fairly likely that they aren't real pollsters, since there's no evidence that they made any of the expensive in-person calls that they claim.

    Michael Weissman UID 197542

    by docmidwest on Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 12:10:13 PM PST

    •  Thanks! (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      docmidwest

      Told y'all I'm not a statistician!  

      It is funny that the firm that probably made up numbers (I mean, their website is terrible and no one who really has a background in polling publishes to two decimal places) is also the one that may end up with the most centrist guesses overall.  

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