Skip to main content

View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 11/9 (afternoon edition) (210 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  Also, we shouldn't give up on seriously contesting (8+ / 0-)

    Either WI-8 or WI-7. They're going to be harder nuts to crack than I had hoped, but they fall pretty easily in a wave with a decent candidate.

    •  Target (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, aamail6

      Buck McKeon

      "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

      by ArkDem14 on Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 02:29:17 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Target it when he retires (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        Decent candidates till then, but we aren't beating him.

        Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

        by tommypaine on Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 02:34:41 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  I say we have a great chance (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          JGibson, MichaelNY

          at beating him with a real, targeted campaign, based on his sub-10 point margin this year. The district is rapidly trending out from under him, and as a sometime DKE user posted about, McKeon has gotten involved in some ethical issues as well as some fights and spats with the local GOP that have left loads of people really soured with him .

          "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

          by ArkDem14 on Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 02:44:07 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  Also WI-01 (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, redrelic17

      For all we dismissed Rob Zerban here, Paul Ryan did the worst of any incumbent in Wisconsin's 5 potentially competitive districts. He only did 2 points better than his district's PVI, compared to 4 for Ribble, 6 for Duffy, 7 for Petri, and 8 for Kind. His vote share was also the lowest of any winning House candidate in the state.

      Male, 22, -4.75/-6.92, born and raised TN-05, now WI-02. "You're damn right we're making a difference!" - Senator-Elect Tammy Baldwin (D-Madison)

      by fearlessfred14 on Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 04:38:16 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  I dismissed Zerban (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        not because he couldn't come close, but because he couldn't get to 50%.  Ryan's floor was literally every Romney voter in that district.  That's a very high floor.  His ceiling was lower this cycle because of his being on the ticket, but it was never going to be low enough.

        19, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
        politicohen.com
        Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
        UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.5.38, -3.23

        by jncca on Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 04:57:11 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  That district is both redder and less elasctic (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, fearlessfred14

        but still potentially winnable.

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

  • Recommended (136)
  • Community (67)
  • Bernie Sanders (49)
  • Elections (36)
  • Hillary Clinton (29)
  • 2016 (28)
  • Culture (28)
  • Climate Change (27)
  • Science (24)
  • Civil Rights (24)
  • Environment (24)
  • Law (20)
  • Media (20)
  • Labor (19)
  • Republicans (18)
  • Spam (17)
  • Barack Obama (17)
  • Trans-Pacific Partnership (17)
  • International (15)
  • White House (15)
  • Click here for the mobile view of the site