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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Weekly Open Thread: Saturday Edition (521 comments)

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  •  what strikes me is that even pollsters that (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, LordMike

    called cell phones had a republican bias of almost 2 points (whereas those that did not had a bias of 3 points).

    •  Because they almost all assumed (6+ / 0-)

      There was absolutely no way Obama could re-ignite his 2008 coalition. This wasn't just the GOP pollsters. Those that had simple likely voter models did well. Those that did less well asked numerous complex questions resulting in the culling of many actual voters. It isn't rocket science. Most of the amateurs posting here could see it months in advance. Best example being the PPP national poll showing African American excitement through the roof on every release.

      "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

      by conspiracy on Sun Nov 11, 2012 at 09:05:17 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

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