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View Diary: 2014 Senate Ratings (54 comments)

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  •  merkley will be fine (9+ / 0-)

    he's low-key and under the radar, but walden can't win a statewide race and democrats don't lose them. i also think pryor will be okay. he's popularnin his state- last time, the gop didn't even field an opponent. landrieu is vulnerable, but is a fighter. same for tim johnson. begich could be vulnerable, but he's well-liked, and the gop doesn't have a strong bench, right now, in alaska.

    The cold passion for truth hunts in no pack. -Robinson Jeffers

    by Laurence Lewis on Thu Nov 15, 2012 at 07:09:41 PM PST

    •  But it's a tough map (7+ / 0-)

      We can surely expect some Republican gains, though not necessarily six seats.

      A lot will depend on what Democrats in DC do between now and then. If they hold their ground on important issues (like defending the safety net) and draw strong contrasts, that will be a good basis for fighting even if we get some retirements on our side.

      "The smartest man in the room is not always right." -Richard Holbrooke

      by Demi Moaned on Thu Nov 15, 2012 at 07:26:50 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Oregon (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      Oregon is my home state so I tend to follow a little closer. Republicans are definitely hoping to make a play at it.

      We are definitely a Democratic state, but there are a lot of fierce independents and libertarians. Republicans don't tend to have as bad of primaries as other states, but Libertarian and Constitution parties tend to get a lot of votes. Merkley and Kitzhaber (who is the 2nd biggest name in state politics) got less than 50%.

      Walden obviously isn't running, but if Smith goes for the rubber match, it would be a tough race.

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