Skip to main content

View Diary: The FL GOP's worst fear come true: Cuban-Americans in Miami swung hard to Dems in 2012 (144 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  The precinct comparisons (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, MattTX

    those are probably the most solid of the evidence presented here.

    Age 23. Voting in NJ-03. Lived most of life in NJ-01. Had Rush Holt represent me during my undergrad years and am now represented by Frank Pallone in my grad school.

    by KingofSpades on Thu Nov 15, 2012 at 08:38:25 AM PST

    •  I very much agree (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades, MichaelNY

      Except for the exit polls, the rest is anecdotal. And exit polls are not always very reliable, especially for small sub-samples. But the exit polls were what prompted me to look at the precinct results, so they are at least worth that much! :)

      •  Good analysis (0+ / 0-)

        but for the record the Bendixen exit poll surveyed 2,000 Cuban-Americans in Florida, a very large sample, and he has since revised his numbers and actually has Obama winning the Cuban vote, 51-49. His data also included an analyzation of the precincts in Miami-Dade, so its pretty safe to say Obama won the Cuban-American vote. This shift is mainly because of the President's shift in Cuba policy from what the Bush regime had in place. Cuban-Americans like myself overwhelmingly support unlimited trade and travel with Cuba. The hardline mentality is dying off with the old folks.

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site