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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Democrat Ami Bera defeats GOP Rep. Dan Lungren in CA-07 (62 comments)

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  •  Is this the Republicans' version of 1988? (6+ / 0-)
    The 1988 election proved such a watershed for Democrats precisely because Bush was not nearly as compelling a politician as Reagan. The late Sen. Daniel Patrick Moynihan, D-N.Y.New YorkPopulation (2010): 19,378,102Registered Voters: 24.70% R, 49.60% D, 25.70% I Governor: Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D)Senators: Sen. Charles Schumer (D), Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D) Full Almanac Profile », with his inimitable timbre that mixed Harvard and Hell’s Kitchen, expressed the Democratic view at one fundraiser when he sniffed that if Democrats could not beat Bush, they should “find another country” to run in. When Bush nonetheless trounced Dukakis, Democrats were compelled to acknowledge that the GOP message had broader appeal than the Democrats’ fading New Deal liberalism. Only then did the party fully commit to the painful reassessment that produced the centrist New Democrat movement and Bill Clinton’s victory four years later.

    Republicans face a comparable moment now. The vast majority of party strategists considered President Obama a uniquely vulnerable target, who had provoked a fierce ideological backlash from white conservatives over his stimulus and health care legislation, and who struggled against the headwind of the grudging recovery from the Great Recession. And yet, despite a narrow margin in the popular vote, Obama became the fourth Democratic nominee in the past six elections to capture at least 332 Electoral College votes. No GOP nominee since the elder Bush in 1988 has won more than the 286 that his son carried in 2004.

    http://www.nationaljournal.com/...

    Doubt it.  The Democrats were not the rigidly ideological dogmatic party the Republicans are.

    Let all the Bush tax cuts expire

    by Paleo on Fri Nov 16, 2012 at 05:43:16 AM PST

    •  The Republican Party... (0+ / 0-)

      Has been great in recent decades at having the establishment control the nomination process.  The establishment-supported candidate has won every nomination following the Goldwater debacle.  So I have no question if the elites decide to "go moderate" than they actually will.  In contrast, establishment picks seldom win the Democratic nomination.  

      It's different down ticket though, where Democrats have been generally willing to begrudgingly support candidates they don't like who they thought were the most electable, whereas Republicans don't show the same sense of pragmatism in their own primaries.  

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