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View Diary: Don't Even Let Nate Silver Deter You In 2014 (108 comments)

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  •  Nate thought we'd lose the Senate this past cycle (0+ / 0-)

    How'd that analysis work out?

    This comes down to national/state/local organization and GOTV efforts. It infuriates me that the Democratic Party doesn't even bother to field candidates for every office in some states. Does Nate's analysis consider this or not? It wasn't the norm in the past, so I fail to be deterred.

    No one, including Nate Silver can tell us what 2014 is going to look like. For example, what happens after ACA comes online and people see that it isn't what conservatives told them it would be? What if 2014 is about health care and the Republicans are caught on the wrong side?

    Run away from anyone, on either side, that deems to give you predictions about any election that is not yet upon us.

    "There is nothing more dreadful than the habit of doubt. Doubt separates people. It is a poison that disintegrates friendships and breaks up pleasant relations. It is a thorn that irritates and hurts; it is a sword that kills.".. Buddha

    by sebastianguy99 on Sat Nov 17, 2012 at 01:00:16 PM PST

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