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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 11/19 (376 comments)

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  •  Ocegura's predicted vote share from 2008 (3+ / 0-)

    numbers was only about 48%, but these numbers should account for some of what disparity remains.  

    27, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-14 (formerly PA-02/NY-12).

    by Xenocrypt on Mon Nov 19, 2012 at 07:57:33 AM PST

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    •  It's a shame (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, Woody, lordpet8, jncca

      Interesting disparity in trends. Every but Vegas trended to the right big-time in both relative terms and in absolute terms.

      NV-02: R+3 then R+6
      NV-03: D+1 then R+1
      NV-04: D+4 then D+3

      But NV-01 trended Dem both in relative terms AND in absolute terms:

      NV-01: D+12 then D+15

      22 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); Intern w/ Gallego for Congress; Office Personnel at CCA.

      by wwmiv on Mon Nov 19, 2012 at 08:02:22 AM PST

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      •  Yeah. (6+ / 0-)

        This tracks with the national pattern, I think, where Obama held up well or even improved his numbers in his biggest strongholds, especially those with strong minority populations: Philadelphia, Alameda County...and logically that must mean he dropped disproportionately elsewhere.  This election's results are so strongly correlated with 2008 that I'm not sure there are many "trends" at all.  More on that later.

        27, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-14 (formerly PA-02/NY-12).

        by Xenocrypt on Mon Nov 19, 2012 at 08:05:51 AM PST

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      •  Perhaps (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        terjeanderson, MichaelNY, lordpet8

        Big-time was overselling it.

        22 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); Intern w/ Gallego for Congress; Office Personnel at CCA.

        by wwmiv on Mon Nov 19, 2012 at 08:06:14 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

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