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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 11/19 (376 comments)

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  •  Glame's new Wisconsin redistrict diary (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    dc1000, KingofSpades, lordpet8, WisJohn, sawolf

    Is Glorious.

    Seriously, especially if you're interested in Wisconsin politics, you should read it. It makes me want someone to do a "If redistricting happened after 2008" series.

    •  Already beat you to it :P (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades, BeloitDem

      But not in as much depth.  I'll probably revisit it and "what if we had national non-partisan maps" soon when I have the time.

      Interestingly, all the scenarios I can come up with result in us having at least 218 seats:
      Redistricting occurs in 2009
      Non-partisan redistricting nationwide
      Partisan control the same as 2009
      Partisan control the same as 2001
      and finally the "don't dummymander Arkansas or recruit John Hernandez in CA-21, etc. etc." scenario that's most realistic.

      NC-06/NC-04; -9.00, -8.41; progress through pragmatism

      by sawolf on Mon Nov 19, 2012 at 01:55:15 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Here's what might have happened in NC: (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        KingofSpades, GloFish, bumiputera


        Take note, Obama won all 8 Dem districts in 2008 and all 8 are more Dem than the state on average, 7 of which are at least 4% more.  Basically every seat would be safe since Shuler was getting well entrenched and this district is much more Dem and the same goes for McIntyre and Kissell.

        Or if that 11th district is too crazy, they could have done this:
        It still improved 1% over Shuler's old district to 47.7% Obama and 48.5% Dem

        In terms of legislative redistricting, I've never taken a shot at it, but I can guarantee you we would have had a much better chance of holding the legislature in 2010 than the court-drawn maps we were running under and we absolutely would have won/held the legislature under a Democratic gerrymander this year.

        NC-06/NC-04; -9.00, -8.41; progress through pragmatism

        by sawolf on Mon Nov 19, 2012 at 02:26:34 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  I just draw a NC map as well (0+ / 0-)

          And it looks very similar to yours. My 11th is a little weaker than yours and the 7th is better at the expense of the 8th.

          24, Practical Progressive Democrat (-4.75, -4.51), DKE Gay Caucus Majority Leader, IN-02; Swingnut. Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

          by HoosierD42 on Tue Nov 20, 2012 at 12:34:04 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

      •  Nice, I had seen your nonpartisan redistricting (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        but I'll have to take a look at the 2008 series.

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