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View Diary: Do states have 'house effects' when it comes to polling? (68 comments)

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  •  Missing Piece (0+ / 0-)

    What is missing is the expected answer in that locale or the "black president" factor.  This is the first time a black man was running for president.  

    I think looking back to Ferraro as a veep might be interesting.  Also, comparing gay marriage results.  We looked at polling for Gay marriage as over by 6 points.  Many said they were for or going to vote for gay marriage even though they were not.  The 2012 results might be "not voting for" the black guy to meet the poll expectations.

    Pam Bennett -6.95 -7.50

    by Pam Bennett on Sun Dec 23, 2012 at 03:10:23 PM PST

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