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View Diary: Republican Rep. Shelley Moore Capito will run for Senate in West Virginia (37 comments)

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  •  Wither West Virginia? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wv voice of reason

    West Virginia was one of five states Carter carried in 1980 against Reagan (Reagan even carried Massacusetts) and one of ten states Dukakis carried against Bush I in 1988 (Bush I even carried Conneticut and Maryland - both Democrats lost California).  

    No other state has gone so far from deep blue to deep red, nor, I think, the other way around.  Possibly California, but California has undergone the demographic change we keep waiting for in Texas, West Virginia has not.

    "We have always known that heedless self-interest was bad morals, now we know that it is bad economics." Franklin Delano Roosevelt, Jan. 20, 1937

    by Navy Vet Terp on Mon Nov 26, 2012 at 09:52:32 AM PST

    •  Navy Vet Terp (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Navy Vet Terp, Andrew F Cockburn

      West Virginia has followed the white vote nationally and sense demographically it is 97 percent white it has become red at the presidential level. It's a sign of how weak and corrupt the state GOP is that it has taken them so long to make in-roads at the state level.

      Rockefeller was likely to retire to spend time with his wife and family and though it sounds counterintuitive Capito's announcement makes me slightly more inclined to think he'll run (though I wouldn't bet on it).

      Capito is the best positioned among Republicans because she's helped assure any potential challengers in the GOP are chopped down. Some believe she maneuvered behind the scenes to take out Ireland. Ireland was never the establishment GOP's pick because Ireland was a potential rival to Capito for this seat.

      Here's a link to some background here and here.

      In WV-02, the Democrats have several names to watch for including Senator Byrd's former right hand Anne Barth, who ran unsuccessfully against Capito, and the Rod Snyder, the outgoing president of the Young Democrats of America, who would be a fundraising and canvassing machine, though I don't know if he is ready to throw his hat in the ring this soon for this seat.

      The Republicans have a long list, but one to worry about is newly elected state Sen. Craig Blair, who is a true teabagger and doesn't carry the loser baggage of Maloney or Raese.

      Senator Byrd challenged coal and won. Rockefeller has never had the same love from the people that Byrd had though.

      There is nothing more deceptive than an obvious fact. S. Holmes

      by Carnacki on Mon Nov 26, 2012 at 10:11:52 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Not the White vote nationally (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Navy Vet Terp

        but the White vote regionally.

        In New England, many of the White folk are Democrats (Obama did win the whole region, and the region has very few non-Whites).

        In the northern great plains, the White vote is split.

        In the south and Appalachia, the White folk have switched over time from solid Democrat to solid Republican.

        •  plf515 (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Navy Vet Terp

          Except for a handful of states, the white vote nationally went Romneyby large margin.

          If only white people had voted on Tuesday, Mitt Romney would have carried every state except for Massachusetts, Iowa, Connecticut and New Hampshire, according to the news media’s exit polls. Nationally, Romney won 59 percent of the white vote, a towering twenty-point margin over Obama. (Exit polls were canceled in nineteen states by the consortium of news media that run them.)

          The pattern is not limited to the South, with its history of racism and segregation. Even in the deepest blue states, white voters went for Romney: 53 percent in California, 52 percent in New York, 55 percent in Pennsylvania.

          Liberals hoped that whites who opposed Obama in 2008 would learn toleration and acceptance of racial difference after four years with a black president in the White House. But what happened was the opposite: Romney won 4 percent more of the white vote in 2012 than John McCain won in 2008.

          There is nothing more deceptive than an obvious fact. S. Holmes

          by Carnacki on Mon Nov 26, 2012 at 10:20:12 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

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