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View Diary: Yup, Romney couldn't get out of mid-40s in battlegrounds (159 comments)

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  •  I've been predicting the demise of the GOP (8+ / 0-)

    for at least six years now and I haven't been right yet, but that's not going to stop me from doing it again.

    The path they're on right at the moment, I really don't think we're going to have to worry about GOP obstructionism ten years or so down the road.  Their coalition is simply too unstable to hold together if they don't have a viable path to power.  Add in their absolute impossibility to reach out to minority voters, given the very strong component of racism in the Republican base, and I don't see how the party can survive in the long term.

    The Federalists collapsed in the mid-1810s and the Whigs didn't emerge to take their place in the two-party system until the early 1830s.  We may be about to enter into a similar one-party era today.

    Give me your tired, your poor, Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free
    ¡Boycott Arizona!

    by litho on Thu Nov 29, 2012 at 03:47:49 AM PST

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    •  Nah, I don't think it'll go that far (5+ / 0-)

      I think, instead, we may be entering a situation similar to the post Civil War-era of 1865 to the early 1900s, when the GOP seemed to have a death grip on the WH (the Democrats only won twice with Grover Cleveland) and the Democrats were pretty much relegated to the former Confederacy and not much else in presidential elections. The current situation's paraellels with that time are pretty striking (the current GOP is strong in the Deep South and the Plains states, but little else) and, if anything, might be even worse then what the late 19th century Democratic party was facing (they at least could count on a totally solid South, while today's GOP has to deal with VA, NC and FL being swing states and the possible future loss of states like TX and GA due to demographic changes).

    •  GOP Coalition Fracture (5+ / 0-)
      Their coalition is simply too unstable to hold together if they don't have a viable path to power.
      I think the final trigger will be a few of the money men of the party, pissed off that their taxes are going up because the Talibornagains scared away too many voters, are going to demand that Changes Be Made. Then... pass the popcorn.

      On the Internet, nobody knows if you're a dog... but everybody knows if you're a jackass.

      by stevemb on Thu Nov 29, 2012 at 08:46:34 AM PST

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