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View Diary: Kerry Would Have Won With 2012 Demographics (20 comments)

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  •  And, Too (0+ / 0-)

    And I should of course add that HOW President Obama ran among these groups does not enter into my reasoning, except in the sense of turnout. I'm not assuming that Kerry gets Obama's percentages of the African-American or Latino votes--on the contrary, I'm assuming that he gets exactly the same percentage from all groups as what he got in 2004. I think it's a fair criticism to say that Kerry might not have been able to produce the turnout Obama did. At the same time, I think it's fair to say that not all of the increase in the percentage of votes cast by African-American and Latino voters is attributable solely to President Obama's superiority as a candidate.

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