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View Diary: Can you trust political trends? (80 comments)

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  •  Yeah (1+ / 0-)
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    MichaelNY

    And, he predicted a 49.8-49.8 tie for Florida. Somehow that is always translated into 'Nate predicted Obama would win in Florida, and was right.' There is a Myth of Nate that seems to have overtaken the quality of his model. But, overall, it is a healthy counterbalance to the Myth of the DC Pundit. The more attention people pay to Nate and his work, the better, because it takes away oxygen from beltway blowhards.

    And speaking of admitting errors, you remind me I need to to a post on my House model. The model worked fine, actually, I just blew it with a subjective call of what number to put into it!

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