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View Diary: Republican Rep. Jo Ann Emerson of Missouri will resign from Congress in February (88 comments)

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  •  Hochul's district wasn't this red (2+ / 0-)
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    ArkDem14, MichaelNY

    I think the last special elections we won that were in this red of a district were MS1 (with no party labels on the ballot and a regional split) and LA6.

    There is a possibility that the R nominee is making his first campaign, which could activate the chaos theory. Although typically New York State Assemblymen are the most likely to be victimized by the Special Election Chaos Theory.

    There are multiple Ds in the State House from this district and one state Senator (I think.. he lives in the one split county). There are several Ds who didn't lose their last election too. And probably a few D attorneys who don't have anything planned for their March/Aprils anyways.

    As for low-turnout elections, the most D parts of the district had a turnout of under 60% of registered voters in November. So that's not helpful. I'd imagine the special election turnout will skew a bit towards areas around Cape Girardeau.

    The Republican Party isn't a party of small government, it's a party of a government for the few. @bhindepmo

    by RBH on Mon Dec 03, 2012 at 12:19:36 PM PST

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