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View Diary: Syria Boxed into a Use-'Em-or-Lose-'Em WMD Dilemma Holding a Deadman Trigger (52 comments)

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  •  The Syrian officer corps is deep with Generals (3+ / 0-)
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    joe shikspack, joanneleon, KenBee

    It's unlikely that defections will result in the best-case outcome you describe -- which is horrible and unacceptable, particularly given the potential for loss of control over these weapons, if the regime and Army collapses.  The flow of defections slowed to a trickle in the late Spring, anyway, and there's a reason for that.

    The Syrian Ba'ath and Shi'ia Generals are in it for long-haul, because of the genocidal nature of religious war in Syria, as the 1976-83 "Long War of Terror" (the last Sunni uprising) showed.

    •  Transitional gov't is "horrible & unacceptable?" (1+ / 0-)
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      I'm saying its unlikely that the growing FSA insurgency and broader peaceful opposition movement will result in the complete collapse of government institutions.  This is rarely the case in such conflicts, though we must obviously guard against that possibility.  Assad leaving the country (either volunteering or via coup) and successors beginning peace, reconciliation and reform process with opposition is both the preferred and IMO likely end-result.  

      By the way...the 'entrails' in that Libya abandoned Scud D video you posted were clearly the leftovers from the Gaddafi goons' dinner.  Navy SEALs aren't usually in the habit of cutting intact stomachs out of people and leaving them neatly lined up amidst empty water bottles.  Drag marks and blood spatter would have been suspicious....a buffet line of goat stomachs in the shade of the vehicle (where soldiers prefer to eat) ain't.

      Follow Me on Twitter!!/ZeddRebel

      by TarantinoDork on Mon Dec 03, 2012 at 10:49:55 AM PST

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      •  A bit large for goat (1+ / 0-)
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        Nobody makes dinner and then leaves the guts in four neat, evenly-spaced piles under a graffiti covered Scud-B.  That was impromptu theater by the intrepid wanderer who took that footage.

        Who said anything about USN Seals doing the job? But, whoever did that managed to 1) kill the driver through the windshield; flipped up the cab and disabled the truck without wrecking it; 3) kicked the nose cone out of shape; 4) left a calling card next to the spare missile.  

        At some point, I'll try to translate the grafitti.  Anyone want first crack at that?

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