Skip to main content

View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 12/7 (251 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  There ya go again (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Xenocrypt, MichaelNY

    bringing up actual numbers and contradicting my argument. :)

    I knew that Obama shot up significantly in Colorado compared to Kerry, but I hadn't considered that his "overperformance" was about the same level as Kerry's overperformance of Gore+Nader.  So I can't really argue Obama's 2008 numbers in Colorado were uncharacteristically high, as they simply continued the trend of the state gaining a couple points to PVI each election from 1996 on.  1992 is harder to quantify as you note...hard to read too much into a 40-36-24 result...Perot took from both sides heavily in the state.  Before that, Colorado seemed to fluctuate around R+5 going back to the 40s.  So I shouldn't have said decades without actually going back decades.

    You are correct that we cannot expect a trend to continue indefinitely simply because it is a trend.  But based on the changing demographics of Colorado, I suspect it will eventually be considered a bluer state than the midwest group (Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin) which have been better for Democrats than Colorado for decades...and I actually checked back decades for that one!

    •  And also there's 1988. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Skaje, MichaelNY

      Where Colorado was very close to the national results.  I actually wasn't meaning to contradict you per se--I think Colorado trended D for at least 1996-2008, which would fit with the usual use of "for decades" (i.e., it trended D in the 90s and 00s).

      27, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-10 (formerly PA-02/NY-12, then PA-02/NY-14).

      by Xenocrypt on Fri Dec 07, 2012 at 03:07:49 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site