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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Oregon Democrats start off the cycle in good shape (37 comments)

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  •  Do DeMint's successes have staying power? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    stevenaxelrod
    His success stories were Ron Johnson, Mike Lee, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Pat Toomey, Ted Cruz, and Jeff Flake,
    While Mike Lee and Rand Paul are safe bets for the long term in red states, you would think Ron Johnson, Marco Rubio, and Pat Toomey will have major battles on their hands in 2016 in Obama blue states. Demographic changes in TX & AZ will also make Cruz and Flake increasingly vulnerable - if not in 2018, then certainly by 2024.

    DeMint's efforts to elect rabid right wingers is not a winning long-term strategy across most of the country.

    Filibuster reform now. No more Gentleman's agreements.

    by bear83 on Mon Dec 10, 2012 at 05:31:44 AM PST

    •  Paul is a decent bet (0+ / 0-)

      but he, too, will face a challenge.

      ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

      by James Allen on Mon Dec 10, 2012 at 05:37:17 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Toomey - here in PA, depends on opponent (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bear83

      Would be nice if the nearly dead moderate wing of the PA GOP primaried him, but I doubt it will happen.  The Hugh Scott / John Heinz / Arlen Specter wing of the PA GOP is dead.  No life signs anywhere.  In the general, it will depend on the quality and "politics" of the Democratic nominee.  Someone too far left would appeal to Phila, Pittsburgh and much of the 4 Phila ring suburban counties' Democratic primary voters but could be too far from middle to win statewide in the general election against Toomey.  PA does not have a history of electing progressives.  Fast Eddie Rendell did not run as a progressive (and did not govern as one - to many Dems' disappointment).  Toomey should be beatable, but he is no more right wing than Rick Santorum and the party was unable to beat little Ricky until Bob Casey came along with his unique pedigree (white Catholic male not from Philadelphia with a golden last name, good resume of prior statewide elections, anti-choice (but often pro-birth control - except for the Blount Amendment), hugely pro-labor, generally supportive of LBGT issues (tho not on marriage equality) - a good mix for the middle-of-the-road PA general election electorate).  We Dems could nominate someone too far left or someone with other attributes that the general electorate would not embrace.  

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