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View Diary: 2013-14 Governor Race Ratings (57 comments)

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  •  Almost had RI (1+ / 0-)
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    at Lean D, but then I thought Chafee's approvals are just so far in the toilet.  I think some of these New England states that have elected Republican governors in recent history are going to stop doing so, much like states in the South have stopped electing Democratic governors.

    You are not the first person to express this same thing to me about Corbett.  The numbers speak for themselves there to me, but there is that Quinnipiac poll with narrow positive approval and you are right about the trend in Pennsylvania.  I also think Corbett is going to get a pretty strong opponent like Schwartz or McCord.

    Every instinct in me wants to put no faith in T-Mac, but Cucinelli is really, really out there.  There was a Republican internal noted in one of the DKE digests today that had T-Mac up a point, even with McDonnell at astronomical approval ratings.

    White Male, 36, New FL-14 (Castor), proud father of a 4-year-old daughter. "This is Wendy's guys! This is Wendy's!" - Mitt Romney, October 9, 2012.

    by spiderdem on Thu Dec 13, 2012 at 01:41:16 PM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  I also don't view Chafee (1+ / 0-)
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      as much of a downgrade from a Democrat.

      White Male, 36, New FL-14 (Castor), proud father of a 4-year-old daughter. "This is Wendy's guys! This is Wendy's!" - Mitt Romney, October 9, 2012.

      by spiderdem on Thu Dec 13, 2012 at 01:41:50 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  heh (1+ / 0-)
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        Yeah...the rating on Corbett probably really depends on his opponent. It does seem like he could get a strong one (b/c of those approvals).

        In general RI politicians are corrupt, but the Dems seem even more so in that state. Chafee is genuinely likeable and while it might depend on the Dem running, if I still lived there I would probably vote for him. I would have voted for him if I still lived there in 2010. It depends on the Dem, but Chafee is actually an upgrade from plenty of Democrats. Not that it's been an issue, but Chafee is pro-choice and plenty of Dems in RI are iffy on that because Catholicism is so strong in the state (so I know plenty of Catholics are pro-choice but I just wouldn't want a Stephen-Lynch type Dem in the gov mansion in RI)

      •  It's not inconceivable... (3+ / 0-)
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        spiderdem, kleinburger, lordpet8

        ...that a Democrat who wins that race could be to the right of Chafee. The 2010 Democratic nominee seemed like he might have been, which is one of two reasons I ended up voting for Chafee (the other being that the polls were showing a close race between Chafee and the GOP candidate with the Democrat in 3rd place).

      •  If the Democrat we pick (0+ / 0-)

        is more like Caprio than Elizabeth Roberts, Chafee is actually an upgrade.

        24, Practical Progressive Democrat (-4.75, -4.51), DKE Gay Caucus Majority Leader, IN-02; Swingnut. Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

        by HoosierD42 on Thu Dec 13, 2012 at 10:46:51 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

    •  Yeah, if POS has the Democrat up (1+ / 0-)
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      they're in trouble.  POS is Public Opinion Strategies, the go-to Republican internal pollster notable for getting every single race incredibly wrong this past election, sometimes off by as much as 20 points in the GOP direction.

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