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View Diary: 2013-14 Governor Race Ratings (57 comments)

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  •  Quinn pulling off the 2010 race (0+ / 0-)

    is what makes me feel that way.  I just don't see how IL-GOV could ever get any worse than that useless lard-ass running in the 2010 wave.  But I guess the response to that is that Republicans didn't nominate their best candidate.  Kirk Dillard would have beaten Quinn in 2010 almost without question.

    Your comment fits with sacman's above.  I may be putting too much stock in high PVI's on both sides for open seats.  I think it's a valid criticism.  But that's what I'm going with for now.

    White Male, 36, New FL-14 (Castor), proud father of a 4-year-old daughter. "This is Wendy's guys! This is Wendy's!" - Mitt Romney, October 9, 2012.

    by spiderdem on Thu Dec 13, 2012 at 03:57:07 PM PST

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    •  Bill Brady was a Tea Party hack (0+ / 0-)

      Brady wasn't as toxic as, for example, Joe Walsh would be in a statewide in Illinois, but he was too conservative for Illinois. What saved Quinn's ass in 2010 was the fact that his original LtGov running mate, Scott Lee Cohen, exited the race after it was revealed that he was a steroid freak (and that was only the tip of the iceberg when it came to Cohen's personal issues), and Cohen turned around and ran an independent gubernatorial campaign and somehow managed to pull enough votes away from Brady to allow Quinn, with Sheila Simon as his replacement running mate, to win with quite a bit less than 50% of the vote.

      Two potential primary challengers to Quinn, if he runs for re-election, include Attorney General Lisa Madigan and State Representative Jack Franks. Democrats need to get behind one primary challenger to Quinn if he runs for re-election, as Illinois does not have a primary runoff like some other states do.

      Kirk Dillard and Dan Rutherford are the two best candidates Illinois Republicans can run statewide in 2014, and Dillard has already announced his intention to run for governor. Aaron Schock apparently talked with the Republican Governors' Association about a possible 2014 gubernatorial run as well, although Schock has some ethical issues that I detailed in this blog post.

      Elizabeth Warren on the Senate Banking Committee is a BFD!

      by DownstateDemocrat on Thu Dec 13, 2012 at 07:56:00 PM PST

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      •  Why would we assume (0+ / 0-)

        Cohen, who is a Democrat, would have taken votes from  Quinn?  I suppose it's possible, but why would I take that to the bank?

        In the Senate race, an even worse Dem - Giannoulias - lost by only 2% to a very strong Republican - Mark Kirk.

        My takeaway from Illinois in 2010 is that Cook County is going to go heavy blue no matter what and is going to get any Democrat most of the way to victory, and it is going to take both a terrible Dem and a strong Republican to eff up a Democratic victory.  I could be wrong, but I am sticking with the rating.

        White Male, 36, New FL-14 (Castor), proud father of a 4-year-old daughter. "This is Wendy's guys! This is Wendy's!" - Mitt Romney, October 9, 2012.

        by spiderdem on Fri Dec 14, 2012 at 04:17:30 AM PST

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