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View Diary: Not again! Assessing possible candidates in a special election to replace John Kerry (333 comments)

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  •  Not under normal circumstances he doesn't (7+ / 0-)

    What people forget is that his win was basically a fluke, it's not like he's like Heidi Heitkamp or one of the type who won without any sort of special circumstances. Martha Coakley didn't run a good campaign, that's why Brown won. Besides, he's lost as an incumbent, that doesn't help much.

    26, Male, CA-24 (new CA-26), DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

    by DrPhillips on Sat Dec 15, 2012 at 12:39:39 PM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  These are not "normal" circumstances (6+ / 0-)

      It's another compressed special election, not in November, with no other races (certainly not Presidential) on the ballot. Brown just got almost 1.5 votes for the same job he'd be running for. He has statewide recognition, important in a low-info special, none of the Dems can match coming in. It's the best possible race for him and it's not going to be easy.

      Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

      by fenway49 on Sat Dec 15, 2012 at 01:44:10 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Being an incumbent helps more than it hurts (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jofr

      He didn't make any drastic mistakes.  He's no longer an unknown, and people have experience with him being their senator.

      Let all the Bush tax cuts expire

      by Paleo on Sat Dec 15, 2012 at 01:52:44 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Yes, he made a drastic mistake. (4+ / 0-)

        He jumped the shark by attacking Warren over the heritage snafu in 1-2 ads featuring Caucasians.  And he's not an incumbent anymore.

        Age 23. Voting in NJ-03. Lived most of life in NJ-01. Had Rush Holt represent me during my undergrad years and am now represented by Frank Pallone in my grad school.

        by KingofSpades on Sat Dec 15, 2012 at 02:29:44 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  I don't think that landed on enough voters (0+ / 0-)

          hard enough

          if you are in MA we disagree
          if you are outside, ,you may not have a clear view

          loosing by eight points to a nationally known star if you are a REpublican...i a Presidential election year...in MA that is not a big margin

          people like Brown still

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