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View Diary: A 'gentlemen's agreement' isn't good enough for real filibuster reform (68 comments)

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  •  despite the senate's recent structural bias (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Joan McCarter, Jim P, MPociask

    toward R's, in that it gives much more power to small, more conservative states, R's have rarely had a large majority in senate.

    look at the historical balance.  R's dominated the senate after the civil war until the depression.  D's have generally dominated the senate since 1933.

    1861-1933
    D control: 5 times
    R control: 31 times

    biggest D majorities were under wilson.  56-39, 53-42, 51-44.

    R's had many bigger majorities.  under andrew johnson: 42-10, 42-11.  under grant: 61-11, 57-17,  54-19.  under TR: 61-29, 58-32.  under taft: 59-32.  under harding: 59-37.  under hoover: 56-39.

    .....

    1933-2013
    D control: 31 times
    R control: 10 times

    biggest D majorities were under FDR 75-17, 69-23, 69-25, 66-28.  under truman: 57-38.  throughout throughout JFK's and LBJ's terms, D's had 60+ in senate, peaking at 68-32 from 1965-1967.  from 1959-1981, D caucus in senate was at least 55 (harry byrd was I, and conservative, but caucused with D's from 1971-1983).

    obviously, dixiecrats were conservatives who often voted with R's, but were nevertheless useful on many votes and for legislative control.

    .....

    R's have only had 55 senators 3 times (1997-1999, 1999-2001, 2005-2007) and have not had more than 55 senators since the early part of the great depression (only 96 senators then).

    by contrast, D's have had 55 senators 23 times (24 if counting harry byrd from 1971-1973), and more than 55 senators 20 times.

    ....

    if we start at 1980, D's control senate 10 times, and R's 8 times.  D's had 55 seats 7 times, and R's had 55 seats 3 times (1997-2001 and 2005-2007).

    ::

    R's have been in minority more, so it seems that filibuster is structurally more advantageous for them.

    and then there is the broader issue of a functioning government.  R's are validated by malfunctioning government.

    •  This analysis naively assumes that (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      cybersaur

      numerical control = actual control.  

      The Republicans have had a lock on actual control of the Senate since 1995, if not before.  Even when Democrats technically have the majority, Republicans have still controlled the agenda.

      Shirley Chisholm was right. Our Republic is in deep trouble.

      by Big River Bandido on Wed Dec 19, 2012 at 07:04:03 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

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