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View Diary: 2012 in review: Grading the pollsters (85 comments)

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  •  In Essence, They Did This To Themselves... (0+ / 0-)

    I didn't want to restrict it to just races where everyone polled the same race, because the data set (and the number of pollsters left) would've been pretty small.

    But pretty much everyone focused on: Ohio, Colorado, Florida, etc. So it kind of happened, anyway.

    I thought about a difficulty factor, but with over 400 polls in the mix, adding that variable would've been tough. Plus, since 2/3 of the criteria was how close they came to the final result, I'd argue that California and Massachusetts actually get harder than the swing states there. Always tough to get a blowout margin right.

    "Every one is king when there's no one left to pawn" (BRMC)
    Contributing Editor, Daily Kos/Daily Kos Elections

    by Steve Singiser on Sun Dec 30, 2012 at 09:25:28 AM PST

    [ Parent ]

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