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View Diary: World Peace for Dummies: Nukes for All (14 comments)

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  •  Simply not so. Look at WWI. (0+ / 0-)

    The huge lesson of WWI is that nominally sensible and intelligent leaders can make catastrophic misjudgments costing millions of lives. This was bad enough when it 'merely' involved conventional artillery and machine guns. But with nuclear weapons, such misjudgment can lead to a rapidly escalating war of annihilation.

    This was bad enough when two large, organized, relatively sensible world powers were jostling for advantage. But now that nervous leaders in Pakistan, Israel, India and North Korea have their own fingers on the nuclear button, the chance of a catastrophic mis-step is vastly greater. The more nations possessing nuclear weapons, the greater the likelihood of a calamitous misunderstanding, or of a desperate leader who comes to believe he can launch a successful 'decapitating' first strike on an opponent.

    •  I have looked at WWI, and also at other wars (0+ / 0-)

      The only time in history that nukes were ever used was against a nation that did not have nukes. Only a nation that does not have to worry about a nuke retaliation would ever use nukes.

      Your idea that more nations with nukes vastly increases the "likelihood" of a calamitous" event is very rational. However, we now have two nuclear nations threatening a non-nuclear nation with war. And, if the war does not go well with those two nations, it is almost certain that they will resort to nukes to prevent their own serious losses.

      War is costly. Peace is priceless!

      by frostbite on Sat Dec 29, 2012 at 07:18:59 AM PST

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    •  WWI teaches that war is not always rational (0+ / 0-)

      The damn thing was on autopilot from the beginning.  Europe's rulers marched straight into it with eyes wide open as surely as they made hundreds of thousands of men march straight into machine gun fire: 19th Century tactics against 20th Century weapons.  A rat's nest of overlapping treaties meant to serve as a deterrent instead turned a regional spat into a continent wide war.  Supposedly the Kaiser even tried to pull Germany back once Serbia finally gave in to Austria's onerous demands, but his generals told him that the war machine quite literally could not be stopped.  German (and French) troops would reach the border and start shooting before any cancellation order would reach them.  The German generals even thought that stopping would leave their defenses in shambles with their enemies at full power, so the risk of not following through on a war was seen as too high.  France and Britain didn't have the excuse of a Nazi juggernaut with designs on world domination, but the propaganda machines were still working their populations into hysterics.

      To those who say the New Deal didn't work: WWII was also government spending

      by Visceral on Sat Dec 29, 2012 at 08:28:35 AM PST

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