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View Diary: OFFICIAL: Obama Breaks 51% in Official Election Returns! (126 comments)

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  •  Better But I Think Not That High. (13+ / 0-)

    If we take away the extra propaganda beginning with his election and exploding with Citizens United, he probably couldn't get much over 55%. There are a lot of conservatives in this country and there's been very little progressive message out there, even from our side, for over 20 years.

    But even 55% might've been enough to bring the House along. Sigh.

    We are called to speak for the weak, for the voiceless, for victims of our nation and for those it calls enemy.... --ML King "Beyond Vietnam"

    by Gooserock on Sat Dec 29, 2012 at 04:29:53 PM PST

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    •  Yes, it's purely speculative and I decided to (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      royce, elwior

      go with what I thought would be the most without the latest extreme rightwing efforts.  There are so many influencing factors on the vote that one can envision many scenarios.

    •  We won the house vote but not the seats. (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      nirbama, ybruti, elwior, ConfusedSkyes

      51% or 55% no difference.  Sorry Gooserock.

      We did narrow the R House Majority to 17 votes.

      The Democrats won the popular vote for the House by a majority of over 1 million votes, most of them 'wasted' in densely blue urban districts.  Gerrymandering after 2010 Census by Repub. Legislature assures a Republican house majority for the next decade. Moreover, as Nate Silver  writes today, there are only 35 congressional districts that are likely to swing from one party to the other.

      35 out of 435.

      "Are you bluish? You don't look bluish," attributed to poet Roger Joseph McGough, for the Beatles' Yellow Submarine (1968).

      by BlueStateRedhead on Sat Dec 29, 2012 at 07:52:11 PM PST

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      •  So, do most of those 35 have Democratic (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        elwior, blueoasis

        Congresspeople going into the next Congress, or are there at least 17 seats that could swing from R to D in the next election?

        •  Miswrote. underexplained. more r than ever. (0+ / 0-)

          sorry it was the  late hour. It was late then and pre-coffee now.
          and I am firewalled out so  am working from memory.
          the point is not only a Dem house is not only not possible,  but  the possibility of compromise with the R house that is entering the 113th, even with its smaller majority, is small as well.

          The Rs that have any self or career interest in voting with Ds on legislation as very few because few are at risk of loosing their seat to a Dem (35); the greater number are at risk of being primaried by another R who might far be to the right of them...as we saw in Senate races --I don't follow House races outside my state...s

          ...

          "Are you bluish? You don't look bluish," attributed to poet Roger Joseph McGough, for the Beatles' Yellow Submarine (1968).

          by BlueStateRedhead on Sun Dec 30, 2012 at 07:31:41 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

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