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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 1/7 (294 comments)

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  •  IL-13: Gill "wouldn't rule out" 2014 rematch (4+ / 0-)

    Link: http://www.news-gazette.com/...

    I'm getting déjà vu. There don't seem to be many interested local Democrats, the problem being that a lot of the Dem public officials in the district are from the liberal college town type areas. The only credible alternative Democratic candidate seems to be Champaign Mayor Don Gerard. He beat a three term incumbent right-wing mayor in '11, so he seems like a strong candidate. While it's true he hasn't ruled it out, he doesn't sound very interested though:

    "It's never been my dream to be a congressman, so I would say that someone would really have to sell me on it," Gerard said.
    Also, random trivia for today is that Debbie Halvorson's son-in-law apparently is on the Champaign City Council (and not interested in running for congress.)

    (-9.38, -7.49), Blood type "O", social anarchist, KY-01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy." — Stanisław Lem

    by Setsuna Mudo on Mon Jan 07, 2013 at 10:34:19 AM PST

    •  Interesting the Matt Goetten wasnt mentioned (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, DownstateDemocrat

      I think he was the DCCC-favored candidate in 2012.

    •  Hoping that the 5th time is the charm for Gill. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      betelgeux
      •  I disagree, Gill needs to hang it up (5+ / 0-)

        or shoot for something lower.  It seems quite clear to me that had someone just a little bit more moderate had run, we wouldn't have had a center-left indie spoiler running and throwing the race to Davis.  Don't get me wrong, I really wish Gill had run and his loss was one of the most heartbreaking in an otherwise great night, but this district needs someone like Bill Enyart who can lock down moderate support.

        NC-06/NC-04; -9.12, -8.62; Yellow Dog Democrat

        by sawolf on Mon Jan 07, 2013 at 12:35:46 PM PST

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        •  There aren't many alternative candidates (0+ / 0-)

          He can raise money, so I'm OK with nominating him again. As far as I'm concerned, this would be his second race, since his first three were steep uphill climbs for any candidate and shouldn't be held against him.

          (-9.38, -7.49), Blood type "O", social anarchist, KY-01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy." — Stanisław Lem

          by Setsuna Mudo on Mon Jan 07, 2013 at 01:36:04 PM PST

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          •  Money doesn't solve the problem (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            DownstateDemocrat, MichaelNY

            of his being too liberal for what the district's voters are okay with.  Money can be gotten from alternative places, but it's difficult for someone with 4 past runs to rebrand himself as a moderate.  I'm not saying we have to run a Blue Dog, but I just can't buy that there aren't any decently positioned state legislators or business people in the district.

            NC-06/NC-04; -9.12, -8.62; Yellow Dog Democrat

            by sawolf on Mon Jan 07, 2013 at 02:03:28 PM PST

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            •  Sue Scherer? Andy Manar? (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              JGibson

              Both of those are moderate Democrats (Manar is from Macoupin County, which is ancestrally-Democratic but is probably trending away from us, and Scherer is from Decatur and was recently elected from a state house district that consists of the northern part of Manar's state senate district)

              Elizabeth Warren on the Senate Banking Committee is a BFD!

              by DownstateDemocrat on Mon Jan 07, 2013 at 02:22:14 PM PST

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    •  Gerard barely defeated Schweighart in 2011 (0+ / 0-)

      ...and Champaign, if I'm not mistaken, is quite a bit more Democratic than Illinois as a whole is, although not as Democratic as Urbana is.

      Don Gerard would be a weak candidate against Rodney Davis.

      Elizabeth Warren on the Senate Banking Committee is a BFD!

      by DownstateDemocrat on Mon Jan 07, 2013 at 01:27:15 PM PST

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      •  That wouldn't jive (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        with a right-wing birther mayor getting reelected twice.

        (-9.38, -7.49), Blood type "O", social anarchist, KY-01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy." — Stanisław Lem

        by Setsuna Mudo on Mon Jan 07, 2013 at 01:33:39 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  So? (3+ / 0-)

        Incumbency effect matters alot the further down-ballot you go. Given that local politicians rarely inspire news coverage to the degree that top of the tickets do, this allows crazy people to fly through undetected.

        Gerard could very well be a good candidate, though I'd like to see his fundraising potential before I make a more conclusory statement.

        23 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

        by wwmiv on Mon Jan 07, 2013 at 01:41:39 PM PST

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        •  Good point (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY, JBraden

          Another important point is that, in Illinois and most other states, local elections tend to draw much lower turnout than for presidential or even midterm congressional elections. It's not uncommon for turnout to be 10-15% for municipal elections in Illinois, often allowing extreme candidates to get elected to municipal posts without much scrutiny by the media.

          Elizabeth Warren on the Senate Banking Committee is a BFD!

          by DownstateDemocrat on Mon Jan 07, 2013 at 02:03:24 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

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