Skip to main content

View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 1/11 (261 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  Safe? wow, no. (21+ / 0-)

    Local Democrats still dominate statewide. Moore-Capito is a heck of a strong candidate, but safe R? Over-reactionary.

    •  There's also the distinct chance (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      JBraden, MichaelNY

      That Capito (not hyphenated) doesn't make it out of a primary. WV has closed primaries*, and there are very few Republicans in the state. She could easily be beaten given the small and likely extreme sample size of the state in that primary.

      *WV actually has semi-closed primaries, in that a voter can change their party registration on Election Day, but I can't see many state Democrats changing their registration to vote for Capito, especially with an open-seat primary on the Democratic side.

      24, Practical Progressive Democrat (-4.75, -4.51), DKE Gay Caucus Majority Leader, IN-02; Swingnut. Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

      by HoosierD42 on Fri Jan 11, 2013 at 11:12:08 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  In each of these last 4 statewide elections: (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        JBraden, MichaelNY

        2010 Senate special, 2012 Senate, 2011 Governor special, 2012 Governor, Democrats got roughly twice the votes in their primaries as the Republicans.

        In 2008, there were 352k votes in the Democratic primary, the Republican Some Dude was unopposed

        In 2006, there were 180k votes in the Democratic primary where a Some Dude ran against Robert Byrd, and 81.2k in the Republican primary that gave us John Raese.

        24, Practical Progressive Democrat (-4.75, -4.51), DKE Gay Caucus Majority Leader, IN-02; Swingnut. Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

        by HoosierD42 on Fri Jan 11, 2013 at 11:17:08 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  42%ish of Rs in the state voted in WV2 in 2012 (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        JBraden, MichaelNY

        in that primary, Capito won 82% over a 3-term state delegate and another opponent.

        If the electorate is small (around 100K Rs voted in the 2012 primaries), then either they're going to wind up picking the most prominent candidate, or they'll split votes and let her through.

        The Republican Party isn't a party of small government, it's a party of a government for the few. @bhindepmo

        by RBH on Fri Jan 11, 2013 at 11:27:53 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site