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View Diary: 2016: Dukakis leads the way (123 comments)

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  •  WV and Appalachia (6+ / 0-)

    Note how the areas adjacent to WV in other states have behaved in a somewhat similar fashion - SW PA, the MD Panhandle, SW VA, KY coal country, SE OH.

    You wouldn't necessarily notice this looking at state-to-state numbers, since those states to one extent or another all have countervailing things going on elsewhere - but going by county you would. The pattern breaks up as you get approach the nearest large urban areas - DC, Columbus, and Pittsburgh.

    On the 1988 Dukakis/Bush map, the entire SW quadrant of PA is blue.  In 2012 it was a sea of red except for Allegheny County.

    West Virginia is pretty much one solid bloc of voters, moreso than perhaps any other state anywhere is.  

    Stuck Between Stations : Thoughts from a bottomless pool of useless information.

    by Answer Guy on Mon Jan 07, 2013 at 11:55:25 AM PST

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    •  The Mississipi River has a similar dynamic (1+ / 0-)
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      NYFM

      I remember looking at a map of the 2000 and 2004 election results that broke down results by county.  The counties along the Mississippi River, no matter the state, were pretty solidly blue.  The further east or west you went, depending on the state, the redder it got.  I was looking at IA in particular because it was close in both elections and one of the few to swing, but when I noticed the dynamic there I checked other states and it was pretty uniform.

      There is truth on all sides. The question is how much.

      by slothlax on Mon Jan 07, 2013 at 12:01:30 PM PST

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    •  Here's a NY Times map (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      slothlax, JVolvo

      That I find fascinating. Here's the link: 2008 election -- ignore the map that comes up (it's just the red and blue states).

      But over on the left (underneath the 365 for Obama), click on "voting shifts."

      That map shows the shifts county by county from 2004 to 2008. Bush won in 2004 and Obama won in 2008, so most of the country shows a blue shift (because Obama won by picking up votes all over the country), but here and there are red counties that became more Republican from 2004 to 2008.

      Look closely at Appalachia (from WV to the VA/KY border, the NC/TN border, down to northern AL). That's where the Republicans got stronger. There's also a strip of red that runs from TN to AR and OK. Arizona was also more Republican, but that's probably because McCain was from there.

      “If you misspell some words, it’s not plagiarism.” – Some Writer

      by Dbug on Mon Jan 07, 2013 at 08:25:53 PM PST

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      •  The 2012 trends map sucks (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Dbug

        The arrows are confusing to me.  But it shows red gains almost everywhere except the Deep South, up the Atlantic Coast, and around the Cleveland area

        There is truth on all sides. The question is how much.

        by slothlax on Mon Jan 07, 2013 at 09:02:41 PM PST

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