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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: For Tom Corbett, 42 is life, the universe, and nothing (93 comments)

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  •  Sestak > Casey (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, Aquarius40, stevenaxelrod

    Let's be honest here, Casey isn't a great candidate, he coasts on his last name.  Sestak ran a better campaign in 2010 than Casey has ever run in any of his races.

    Dems don't need a miracle to take down Corbett, just slightly-above average events (including the candidate selection) for 2014.  When you look at how dreadful 2010 was the baseline for improvement in 2014 paints a pretty clear picture.  

    "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

    by rdw72777 on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 06:51:22 AM PST

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    •  Nail on the head (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, stevenaxelrod

      Even today most Pennsylvanians wouldn't rate Toomey badly.  He's toned himself down quite a bit.  Only those truly in the know recall him as the Club for growth guy and all his past.

      Toomey/Sestak was actually 2 pretty good candidates/campaigns, but no one was paying attention because it was a wave.  

      I remember election night actually thinking Sestak had eeked it out, then those York/Lancaster results kept coming in at 70%+ for Corbett and realizing Sestak couldn't overcome that.

      "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

      by rdw72777 on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 06:53:39 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Casey does coast on his name recognition (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, Adam B, terrypinder

      But the operative word is "coast." He's still got a plaintive, down-to-earth manner that appeals to many conservative Pennsylvanians. He hasn't faced a real challenge which would require him to break that out. Tom Smith gave him a little concern towards the end but Casey still won without (I think) planting a single yard sign in all of Delaware, Montgomery and Philadelphia Counties, or even bothering to campaign in the suburbs.  One "Tea Party Tom" commercial in those areas did the trick for Casey.

      •  Not sure I understand the point (0+ / 0-)

        Casey is just not a great candidate.  take away his last name and I doubt he ever wins an election after high school.  He's exceedingly unremarkable and being a moderate Dem from Scranton wouldn't have gotten him far.

        "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

        by rdw72777 on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 07:40:29 AM PST

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        •  I just don't think PA voters think he's (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          as bad a candidate as you do.  He projects trustworthiness more than any other candidate I've seen in PA for a long time.  He has no personality but that doesn't matter to Pennsylvanians.

          •  Youre absolutely right (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Dartagnan, MichaelNY

            No doubt PA will elect him until he dies (and since he's still relatively young that could be a long time).  

            "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

            by rdw72777 on Tue Jan 08, 2013 at 07:53:26 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

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