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View Diary: Why Arizona Didn't Trend Blue in 2012: Presidential Results by Legislative District. (32 comments)

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  •  I think some of it depends (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ArkDem14

    on how much can change from investment.  How much of Scottsdale's turnout can West Phoenix rival, even with the best organization?

    27, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-10 (formerly PA-02/NY-12, then PA-02/NY-14).

    by Xenocrypt on Sun Jan 13, 2013 at 02:05:32 PM PST

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    •  well (7+ / 0-)

      It is my opinion that investing heavily in registration of Hispanics and on the reservations would do a lot of good, but that would depend on how much effort the Obama campaign really put into their "experiment".  I suspect it wasn't much, but if they tried really hard and just couldn't get results, perhaps not.  And the data I've seen suggests that so long as they're registered, non-white voters will turnout out at nearly the same rate as white voters.  The problem is that they aren't registered.  Registering Hispanic voters is the most important thing Democrats in the Southwest and Texas can do.

      ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

      by James Allen on Sun Jan 13, 2013 at 02:27:42 PM PST

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      •  marginal return (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        James Allen

        Dems probably have a lot more low-hanging fruit in the state than the GOP does. All else equal, I'd rather have more untapped resources. If LD29's Hispanic population is typical of the state, there are going to be a lot of citizens turning 18 every year also.

        SSP poster. 43, new CA-6, -0.25/-3.90

        by sacman701 on Mon Jan 14, 2013 at 10:35:52 AM PST

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        •  posted too soon (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          James Allen

          I suspect that in AZ the marginal dollar of Dem GOTV efforts would net more new votes than the marginal dollar of GOP GOTV efforts.

          SSP poster. 43, new CA-6, -0.25/-3.90

          by sacman701 on Mon Jan 14, 2013 at 10:37:32 AM PST

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