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View Diary: The rebirth of rural populism in Upstate New York (59 comments)

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  •  District currently under Tom Reed encompasses (8+ / 0-)

    a wide rangeof voting preferences and regional economics, from Hornel and Elmira in the Southern tier to southern Monroe county near Rochester--a result  of Repub. redistricting.
    The northern end of Reed's district (the road I used to live on in Pittsford, NY, was Reed's, one road north was in Louise Slaughter's district) tends to be prosperous, middle to upper-middle class, and more liberal in the past couple of decades. It depends on institutions like Strong Hospital, University of Rochester and RIT, and a lot of export-driven small manufacturing.
    The southern portion has lots of unemployment or underemployment, farming, lumbering, and hunting. It tends to vote pretty solidly Republican.
    Consequently, any successful candidate will have to appeal to groups with very different political interests.
    Eric Massa may have gone down in ignominy but he was able to appeal to disparate groups of people because he spoke to their concerns.
    He was well versed in and outspoken about economic issues, from export and intellectual property problems to the fact that so many New Yorkers were one accident or lay-off away from personal financial disaster, given the situation at the time with health care.
    His military experience and rather blunt speaking style gave him cred with folks in the Southern Tier, particularly since James "Randy" Kuhl, the go-along-get-along conservative he defeated, was mainly known for being the 2nd-best golfer in the House of Representatives.
    Massa also ran tireless campaigns--lots of boots, his own included, on the ground.
    So, that's a long way of saying that whoever wants to defeat Reed will, at the very least, have to be well-versed in the wide variety of economic issues and other concerns that affect people in the district. He or she will have to understand the dynamics of a lot of very different communities. Those concerns will have to be carefully identified.
    I didn't see that happen with the Democratic candidate in 2010, and I wasn't living there in 2012, but Reed ought be vulnerable--he was a loyal supporter of the Ryan plan to privatize Social Security, and is a huge yes-man for the most extreme GOP policies.

    •  Sorry, I shouldn't write late at night--Reed was (1+ / 0-)
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      an enthusiastic supporter of Ryan's plan to privitize/voucherize health care. His major justification for the Ryan plan was the standard "we have to destroy Medicare to save it," as well as the insulting, divisive, and infuriating advice that his older constituents shouldn't worry--the changes wouldn't affect them.

      •  asdf (0+ / 0-)

        did his dem opponent highlight this?

        Dems in swing districts: INSIST your republican rep incr tax on the wealthy -gerrymandering makes rep vulnerable...swing district list:

        by grrr on Tue Jan 15, 2013 at 10:27:03 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

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