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View Diary: Cold Tonight When the Wind Blows (32 comments)

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  •  Polar cold is being squeezed out by warm winds (10+ / 0-)

    Three major hot spots extending north are forcing what remains of the cold south. By 2016 there may no longer be any sea ice. Then without the ice to reflect the solar heat back the arctic heats even faster.

    That causes the methane hydrate releases that are the next major tipping point. Methane doesn't last in the atmosphere as long  but while its there it increases the warming 25 times over.

    Eventually the blooms of oxygen producing bacteria that congregate in the North Atlantic die off and the percentage of oxygen decreases as the percentage of CO2 increases.

    Where I live, mid coastal Maine, its very warm, well above freezing most of the time and that's a major change from what we are used to. We had almost no snow in 2012 and have only about a foot so far in 2013.

    I burn wood cause I can't afford to burn oil. Both put carbon in the atmosphere but the well seasoned oak I chuck in the stove burns slow and completely with little smoke.

    What smoke there is gets filtered out pretty well on its way out of the building passing through the chimney and stove pipes which collect most of the carbon as soot.

    Live Free or Die --- Investigate, Incarcerate

    by rktect on Sun Jan 13, 2013 at 03:36:02 AM PST

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    •  plus the wood you burn would turn to CO2 (7+ / 0-)

      anyway when it rotted. The oil that you don't use will stay locked up deep under ground.

      How big is your personal carbon footprint?

      by ban nock on Sun Jan 13, 2013 at 05:22:19 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  According to the best numbers I have seen (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ladybug53

        coming mostly from theoildrum.com and  the CIA world fact book , about one and a half trillion barrels of oil have been discovered on this planet.

        Of this we have already used about one third and one third remains locked in the earth beyond our present ability to economically recover it.

        Lets allow we presently use about 85 million barrels a day on this planet and twenty percent of that is used by the US.

        If we continue at the same rate we have enough for
        about 5882 more days or 16 years; which gets us to 2029.

        Most likely our rate of use will increase and we will begin not being able to take it out of the ground, refine it and distribute it fast enough to supply everyone who wants it about 2020, seven years from now.

        Based on data from OPEC at the beginning of 2011 the highest proved oil reserves including non-conventional oil deposits are in Venezuela (20% of global reserves), Saudi Arabia (18% of global reserves), Canada (13% of global reserves), Iran (9%).[2]
        Wikipedia references the CIA World Fact Book to come up with an estimated 1480 x 10^9 BBL of proven reserves estimated to last 64 years, but I'm deducting the parts of proven reserves we have already used, the parts we can't get to economically and allowing for some increase in demand with price further restricting its availability.

        Live Free or Die --- Investigate, Incarcerate

        by rktect on Sun Jan 13, 2013 at 06:01:57 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

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