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View Diary: NOT The Onion: "We Suck. We're Bad." -- Scott Walker's Administration on Scott Walker (62 comments)

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  •  According to the Walker administration (12+ / 0-)

    By the end of 2014 we'll be at or close to 2,450,00 private sector jobs by the CES measure (see appendix 1 for the details; some interpolation is required since the numbers given are averages over the entire year).

    That would put us at about 125,000 jobs gained, merely half of Walker's promise (which, it should be noted, he made as recently as June 2012).

    I anticipate that Walker will attempt to bring out the (not seasonally-adjusted) QCEW data for June 2014 two months early instead of one in order to attempt to claim credit for summer jobs as he did in his recent pants-on-fire PF factcheck.  This Dec-Jun seasonal bump is typically about 50,000, so he's no doubt hoping that he can fudge a figure of 200,000 and persuade people that it's close enough.

    If he's stuck with the latest QCEW data at the time of the election being from March 2014, then he's rather screwed since Dec-Mar has a typical seasonal drop of 60-70,000.  Then he'd only be able to show whole year 2011 (poor), 2012 (shaping up to be worse) and 2013 (hope against hope it's good) QCEW data.

    Fake candidates nominated by the GOP for the recalls: 6 out of 7. Fake signatures on the recall petitions: 4 out of 1,860,283.

    by GeoffT on Mon Jan 14, 2013 at 02:18:10 PM PST

    •  He will probably blame "liberal activist judges" (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Puddytat, Philpm, Lujane, basket

      for slowing down his union hit job or something.

    •  He isn't worried (12+ / 0-)

      He'll pull another excuse out of the Lame Excuse Bag.

      Already used:

      -- The protests are scaring off jobs

      -- The (first round of) recalls are scaring off jobs

      -- The (second round of) recalls are scaring off jobs

      -- The "uncertainty" of who will be Governor is scaring off jobs

      Once each one is over (never debunked by our Walker-luvin' media) a new one is pulled out of the bag.  Walker, or Rove, or Luntz will always have a brand new shiny excuse to hide Walkers failures under.

      There already is class warfare in America. Unfortunately, the rich are winning.

      by Puddytat on Mon Jan 14, 2013 at 03:25:51 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  I believe he is (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Puddytat, Philpm, basket

        I can't explain the "just under 100,000" pants-on-fire lie otherwise.

        It doesn't make any sense except in two cases: (a) he's feeling the heat right now for the Walker recession and is attempting to throw out not seasonally adjusted numbers in desperation (I doubt this); or (b) he's attempting to see if he can get away with it in anticipation of needing to use the same tactic just under two years from now.

        I suppose there's a third option: he hasn't a clue what any of the jobs figures actually mean and isn't interested enough to find out.

        Fake candidates nominated by the GOP for the recalls: 6 out of 7. Fake signatures on the recall petitions: 4 out of 1,860,283.

        by GeoffT on Mon Jan 14, 2013 at 04:21:51 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  He'll do what he always does (8+ / 0-)

          Lie.  And then lie some more.

          The media has his back and he's wall to wall on the RW radio stations across the state (frequent guest, frequently lauded for his pretended accomplishments, memes and propaganda repeated as often as necessary).  It was his key to winning the election and the recall.

          Right before the recall, when it looked like the job numbers were going to sink him - what did he do?  Phonied up some numbers and said the BLS numbers were bad.  Huge lie on top of a pile of BS, but the media stepped in and not only printed it, but questioned the BLS numbers as though they were disputable instead of being well recognized government statistics on jobs.

          He'll do it again and the media will just chime in and support the lie.

          There already is class warfare in America. Unfortunately, the rich are winning.

          by Puddytat on Mon Jan 14, 2013 at 04:32:54 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  I contacted DWD statisticians in mid-2011 (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            basket, Aaa T Tudeattack, Creosote

            They did make clear that the QCEW data is regarded as the most accurate (and that is produced with the BLS), although they have the drawback of there being typically a 6-9 month lag in producing them.

            QCEW data itself isn't phony; what Walker lied about was:

             1. BLS had verified the preliminary QCEW data he produced in May 2012.
             2. It showed that his economic leadership was great (now that we have all states' data in, turns out the figures he was touting showed that we were in 38th place in 2011, down from 11th in 2010).

            Fake candidates nominated by the GOP for the recalls: 6 out of 7. Fake signatures on the recall petitions: 4 out of 1,860,283.

            by GeoffT on Mon Jan 14, 2013 at 06:07:11 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

        •  And J-S called him out, also telling (4+ / 0-)

            I think the fact that the J-S's Politi-crap would call out Walker for blatantly lying about the number of jobs is worth noting. I think they know that carrying Walker's water the last decade has hurt their credibility and they have to try to call it somewhat near fair....or they know the John Doe indictment is coming down sooner than later. Neither is good news for Gov. Dropout.

            Oh, and skip tomorrow's State of the State address. Just read this and watch Badgers-Hoosiers instead.

             

      •  'recalls are scaring off jobs' = truth (0+ / 0-)

        the repelled Walker recall actualized those fears, in the form of scared-off jobs...

        ♥ Repeal the Capital Gains, Carried Interest & Dividends Entitlements bequeathed to 'more special' taxpayers.

        by in on Tue Jan 22, 2013 at 06:07:55 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

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