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View Diary: Republicans STOLE the House! Here's What YOU Can DO to Fight Back! (149 comments)

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  •  As I said in the intro (4+ / 0-)
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    a2nite, WisJohn, James Allen, newfie

    we'll have to elect a Democratic governor in 2018.  Same goes for states like Wisconsin, Virginia, Texas, basically any state that Republicans will otherwise gerrymander that doesn't have the amendment initiative and where Republicans don't have veto proof majorities.  Unfortunately Pennsylvania Republicans probably drew the best overall gerrymander of the redistricting cycle and I really don't see us having a good shot at picking up any of the districts now that Altmire seems done with politics and Fitzpatrick won easily.

    If we had a map like I had drawn here we would have added Jason Altmire, Tim Holden, and someone from Delaware County to replace Meehan.  Dent would have had a tough reelection but probably would have won while Gerlach's would have been closer.  Oh and Critz would have been in a dogfight against Tim Murphy but ultimately would have still lost.  PA-03 would have also been more competitive but I think we might have lost it by 8 or so.

    NC-06/NC-04; -9.12, -8.62; Yellow Dog Democrat

    by sawolf on Tue Jan 22, 2013 at 05:04:15 PM PST

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    •  Well we can certainly give Corbett the boot in (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      a2nite, Aquarius40, newfie

      2014 and then re-elect our Dem governor in 2018.  Right now it's looking Treasurer Rob McCord is our guy.

      Funny Stuff at http://www.funnyordie.com/oresmas

      by poopdogcomedy on Tue Jan 22, 2013 at 05:28:39 PM PST

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      •  And if Pa. GOP try rigging presidential evs then (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Odysseus, WisJohn

        disgust (esp. in Phila. suburbs) may also give the state House to democrats. And surprisingly the state senate, forever GOP, isn't 100% out of reach.
        2010---R29 D20 (one vacancy)
        2012---R27 D23

        State House
        2010---R110 D91
        2012---R110 D93

        "They will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the American economy. The full faith and credit of the United States of America is not a bargaining chip."

        by TofG on Tue Jan 22, 2013 at 07:09:37 PM PST

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    •  I'm not sure I'd say... (0+ / 0-)

      Republicans drew the best map in Pennsylvania.  I think Ohio is more devious.  

      Certainly it flaunted the results to the greatest degree, but PA-08 is predicated on Fitzpatrick, and while he's youngish at 49, drawing a district for a particular incumbent (rather than to favor your party as a whole), is always kind of bad.  In addition, Pennsylvania still has three borderline competitive seats (PA-6, PA-7, PA-15), while Ohio only has two (OH-10, OH-14).  And while the Philly suburban districts headed the wrong way (measured by PVI) in 2012, minorities continue to move into all of them, meaning over the longer run they should become more competitive than the two Ohio seats.  

      I think Virginia will be viewed as the dummymander of the decade though for the Republicans.  It's like they weren't trying with VA-02 and VA-10.  

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