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View Diary: Republicans STOLE the House! Here's What YOU Can DO to Fight Back! (149 comments)

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    Missouri - it's fairly easy to amend the state constitution.  I think the 2-6 division is fairly natural, and minus cracking Saint Louis up, it couldn't be changed much, but more neutral map-drawing could result in a slightly more competitive MO-2.  Certainly it should stop there being a Republican super-majority on the state level, which is a good thing.  

    Utah - My understanding is in Utah you can have citizen-initiated statutes, but they have to be voted down by the legislature before they go to the voters.  It's a no-brainer that with nonpartisan redistricting, we'd get a compact, SLC-based district which someone besides Jim Matheson should be able to hold down.    

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      James Allen

      Missouri and Mississippi, since we might get a somewhat better 2nd and 4th district in MO and we might get lucky with some type of commission in Mississippi drawing the 3rd to be much blacker and more Democratic, but it really isn't worth it.  With Missouri the districts improve marginally at best since I highly doubt a commission would crack St. Louis, although maybe an Arizona style one might and Wagner could be vulnerable.  With Mississippi you definitely need an Arizona style "competitiveness" criteria since the actual map was court-drawn and pretty definitely non-partisan.

      It's a shame there was no way for the DOJ to force a second VRA black district in Alabama, Louisiana, South Carolina and Fort-Worth while also forcing an additional Hispanic VRA district in South Texas.  Neutral maps I've seen or drawn show that it's ridiculously easy to do this in a compact manner and my opinion is that these should be required, though with Mississippi and Virginia I don't think you can require the 2nd one, but it could be drawn.

      Also, for states like Utah that are ridiculously Republican I'm sure they would find some way to circumvent the statute so it doesn't seem worth pursuing, but yes you would absolutely get a safe Dem seat in SLC and Matheson would be screwed.

      NC-06/NC-04; -9.12, -8.62; Yellow Dog Democrat

      by sawolf on Tue Jan 22, 2013 at 09:47:12 PM PST

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