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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Martin Luther King, Jr./Inauguration Day Open Thread (272 comments)

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  •  No, you're misreading it (1+ / 0-)
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    MichaelNY

    I meant in polling McAuliffe is Generic D so of course his numbers don't factor in his individual weaknesses yet.  With Cuccinelli it appears that voters already have some exposure to his weaknesses and that's readily apparent in the favorability numbers.

    I'll admit I don't have a great feel for how much drop off Democrats should expect between registered voters (as polling now would show) and likely voters on November 5th aside from it being a not-insignificant amount, but then again I don't think anyone here really knows either since 2009's turnout was such an aberration due to a variety of factors that won't be replicated exactly this year.  Still, I trust PPP in Virginia over Quinnipiac due to their longer history in the state and their nailing the election last year, but even just averaging the two it seems pretty obvious to me that Cuccinelli is a flawed candidate and that his flaws are more likely than not more damaging than McAuliffe's, so that's what makes me think that despite his potential negatives, McAuliffe's campaign can overcome them vs. Cuccinelli.

    NC-06/NC-04; -9.12, -8.62; Yellow Dog Democrat

    by sawolf on Mon Jan 21, 2013 at 08:40:36 PM PST

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