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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Martin Luther King, Jr./Inauguration Day Open Thread (272 comments)

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  •  1968 (1+ / 0-)
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    There were no guarantees had Bobby Kennedy made it to Chicago. Indeed, many people argue Humphrey's delegate lead was insurmountable. It required changing people's minds already pledged to the VP. And he most certainly had no chance without the support of McCarthy. The problem he was likely to have with the latter was that stopping Kennedy became almost as important to that campaign as it had been to defeating Johnson. I do think the convention mess was unlikely however had he lived which might have made it more difficult for Nixon in November.

    But say RFK ends up the nominee. He probably loses Texas. He would have then had to thread a needle through states won by JFK in 1960. Namely Delaware, New Jersey, Illinois and Missouri. That wouldn't have been enough without some combination of other places Humphrey ran close including Alaska, Ohio, Oregon and Kentucky. The last two Nixon carried by 6 points each. Or win California. Again.

    "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

    by conspiracy on Tue Jan 22, 2013 at 10:34:08 AM PST

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