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View Diary: Looking at the Senate picture in 2014 ... and 2016 (160 comments)

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  •  Mo in 2016 could be competitive (18+ / 0-)

    even  without a teabagger or retirement.  Gov. Jay Nixon finished his second term that year and is then term limited.  Senator Blunt won against a weak candidate in 2010, but if Gov. Nixon runs, he might well be the favorite.  Nixon is very popular among both Dems and independents.  

    Join us on the Black Kos front porch to review news and views written from a black pov—everyone is welcome.

    by TomP on Mon Feb 11, 2013 at 08:25:00 AM PST

    •  Has Nixon (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      TomP, JBraden

      suggested he'd be interested in a Senate race? He'd be about the only person who could make it interesting in a state that has been sliding backwards for us.

    •  Carnahan was not a weak candidate (6+ / 0-)

      The Carnahan name is (was?) political royalty in Mizzou, and Robin was a relatively popular Secretary of State.

      She was more a casualty of the 2010 teabagger political reality of riled up angry old whites and stay-at-home Dems.

      The world is kinda cold and the rhythm is your blanket, wrap yourself up in it, if you love it then you'll thank it.

      by Ajax the Greater on Mon Feb 11, 2013 at 08:42:05 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  I voted for her, (0+ / 0-)

        but I think the Carnhan name is not what it was.  Mel's support has not really been all that transferrable.  Weak or not, she lost big.  I don't think Blunt could do the same with Nixon.  

        Join us on the Black Kos front porch to review news and views written from a black pov—everyone is welcome.

        by TomP on Mon Feb 11, 2013 at 10:02:36 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  Sadly -and it is said because I like the Carnahans (0+ / 0-)

        The electoral fortunes of the Carnahan family have been in decline over the past decade

        Jean Carnahan lost a special election to serve out the remainder of her husband's term in 2002. Robin Carnahan lost her 2010 senate race and Russ Carnahan got redistricted out and lost a primary in 2012

        Now you can legitimately argue that there were extenuating circumstances in all three cases. Jean Carnahan lost in the lead up to the Iraq War and the post 9-11 political environment. Robin Carnahan lost in a wave election year and Russell Carnahan was redistricted out and then committed political hara-kiri by contesting a primary against an entrenched incumbent where the odds were overwhelmingly against him. But the fact still remains that the Carnahans haven't been doing very well in terms of national politics (although Robin, I believe, did win one or two elections for statewide office in the last decade).

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