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View Diary: Looking at the Senate picture in 2014 ... and 2016 (160 comments)

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  •  Wait? (1+ / 0-)
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    Why do we believe this is the case?

    If there's a silver lining here, it's that the Red-state Dems on that list don't have to run with President Barack Obama at the top of the ticket, and won't have to contend with presidential-year turnout which would undoubtedly hurt most of them.
    We won MO, MT, VA, OH, ND, WI, and IN.  With President Obama on top of the ticket.  Don't we think Obama helped in all of those state except MT and MO?  We got blown out when he wasn't on the top of the ticket.  Granted, VA, OH, WI are blue, but they were still tossups pre-election.

    We now have two overperform elections in the Senate with Obama at top of ticket, and one underperform without him.

    Is this conventional wisdom, or does polling show he hurt red state Dems (regardless of what TV says).

    "Small Businesses Don't Build Levees" - Melissa Harris Perry

    by justmy2 on Mon Feb 11, 2013 at 09:49:34 AM PST

    •  it just means the Dems in uber red states (0+ / 0-)

      won't have to rely so heavily on ticket splitting. I mean some of them will have to overperform Obama as much as 15 to 20 points to win (assuming they were running in a presidential year)

      In fact, the occasional victory for the GOP cannot hide the fact that this country is fast heading into another era, not of two-party democracy, but a party-and-a-half system. And the GOP is the half a party- Larry Sabato

      by lordpet8 on Mon Feb 11, 2013 at 12:18:59 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

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