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  •  One kind of prediction does have (1+ / 0-)
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    Roadbed Guy

    a pretty good track record and that's the collective wisdom of crowds. They are apparently very good at estimating things such as the weight of a bull or the number of jellybeans in a jar. The mean of a couple of hundred guesses is usually very close to the actual number. Whether in fact that's true of other things is unclear to me. If you ask a large number of people whether the economy will be better next year, they may be more accurate than anyone person no matter how skilled.

    For if there is a sin against life, it consists perhaps not so much in despairing of life as in hoping for another life and in eluding the implacable grandeur of this life. - Albert Camus

    by Anne Elk on Wed Feb 13, 2013 at 01:36:35 PM PST

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    •  Yes, that's why the Borg are so successful. (0+ / 0-)
      •  The Borg? (1+ / 0-)
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        greenbird

        You mean Victor Borg, the Danish comedian?

        For if there is a sin against life, it consists perhaps not so much in despairing of life as in hoping for another life and in eluding the implacable grandeur of this life. - Albert Camus

        by Anne Elk on Wed Feb 13, 2013 at 01:42:39 PM PST

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        •  I dunno, is he hundreds of people (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          greenbird

          all wrapped in one acting collectively?

          btw, do you mean Victor Borge, who's described thusly at Wikipedia:

          Victor Borge 4] born Børge Rosenbaum, was a Danish and American comedian, conductor and pianist
          So let's see, he's at least 4 people
          1) Danish
          2) American
          3) conductor
          4) pianist

          maybe's that enough for the effect you mention to kick in?

          •  The things you read... (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            greenbird

            For if there is a sin against life, it consists perhaps not so much in despairing of life as in hoping for another life and in eluding the implacable grandeur of this life. - Albert Camus

            by Anne Elk on Wed Feb 13, 2013 at 03:46:48 PM PST

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