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View Diary: Louisiana Sen. Mary Landrieu starts off the 2014 campaign in unexpectedly good shape (90 comments)

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  •  Frankly, the thing that can hurt her (6+ / 0-)

    is if the President insists on a vote on gun control measures beyond something fairly bi-partisan, like a universal background check.  The one thing she does not want, I think, is a vote on an assault weapons ban or something stronger.  That's a no win for her. It will be a very high-profile vote, and if she votes yes, it will really hurt her here in very red state Louisiana.  If she votes no, she loses support with her party.  

    Mary keeps her seat because she is pro-business enough (and pro-oil and gas industry) so that LABI, the Louisiana Association of Business and Industry, doesn't come out strongly against her.  She needs to do two things:  (1) keep that pro-business, pro-oil and gas industry reputation.  For example, here's what she said on "closing oil company loopholes" as part of avoiding the sequester:

    “My position is that no industry should be singled out to be punished because they are a legal, robust industry,” Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.), who is up for reelection in 2014, told reporters on Tuesday. “And so while I most certainly am supportive of a review for the whole tax code of all industries, I don’t see why the oil-and-gas industry should have to be ever singled out.”
    (2) She needs to avoid casting any votes that will be "red flags" to all the conservatives in Louisiana.  And, frankly, if she is forced to cast a vote on an assault weapons ban, or something stronger in terms of gun control, I suspect that will really hurt her here.

    Louisiana is a very red state, but they are generally happy with Mary because she is not perceived as "too liberal."  If she casts any votes that give her opponents ammunition, that could hurt her.  

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