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View Diary: Oregon Political Geography: Portland (7 comments)

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  •  That's the 20th, right? (0+ / 0-)

    Combines HD 40 (the Portland part) with HD 39, the only solidly GOP district between the 26th and the 52nd, inclusive. They decided to make a GOP vote sink going across exurban Clackamas as far as Canby, maybe to make sure all the other ones were swing or better.  39 is more GOP than 40 is Democratic, so it's a steep uphill climb. Possible in a wave year, but there's lower hanging fruit to take from the GOP than that.

    It's up in 2014, but really, we'd do a lot better going after the 15th and the 26th (not to mention the Corvalis seat and a few others outside of Portland metro) and some of the House districts like 24, 26, 37 and 52.  We would get to a 20-10 Dem majority in the state Senate elsewhere before the 20th was really in play.

    Cover me, Melvert! I gotta leave the Sovrin Independent Free Market Collective of Fortress Libertopia to go get our disability checks!

    by AdmiralNaismith on Thu Feb 28, 2013 at 10:31:53 PM PST

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    •  the 20th is Alan Olsen. (0+ / 0-)

      Thomsen's is the 26th.  With Frank Morse having retired in the 8th that gives us a really good shot there.  Hillsboro also continued to move left last year and got rid of both their Republican reps, so yes, the 15th is another good option.  And if Jackie Winters retires, too, then the 10th, and if Vicki Berger runs for that district, then her house district is just about even and we'd have a decent shot at it.

      Olsen's got redder last year, but I think it's still just a Lean R district, and if it hadn't been redrawn to be like 3-4 points more Republican, he'd definitely be a fluke.  He wasn't an impressive candidate in 2010, he just caught Martha Schrader and everyone by surprise.  I felt bad, çause I was living in Canby at the time, and was working professionally doing some things that helped her and Kurt, but I should've volunteered some time, too.  I would have if I'd known it was so close.

      ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

      by James Allen on Fri Mar 01, 2013 at 09:41:36 AM PST

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