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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: John Kasich's approvals improve, but his head-to-heads are weak (22 comments)

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  •  these don't add up (0+ / 0-)

    the #'s for the presidential races are whacked out...by Sabato above. Dems averaged over 50% of the raw vote yet his 3 cycle comes out to only 48.5 unweighted...it also ignores the abysmal #'s the republicans got...these races come down to choosing . the repug average is only 47.8.
    twisting a 50.7 - 47.8 advantage into bad news is really a piece of work...for his #'s to be real, the 50.7 would have to be Way overweighted to big states...which would mean that we have lots of big states we can raise $ in to pour into small races next year

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