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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 3/18 (219 comments)

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  •  Maybe, I think John Fleming has the real potential (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ArkDem14, skibum59

    to be another Todd Akin for the GOP given that there doesn't seem to be much going on upstairs when you think the Onion is a real news source and don't have competent enough staff to prevent your stupidity from being made public.

    I'd love to see this race develop into a repeat of MO-Sen 2012 which isn't out of the question (though maybe not to the same extent) since Landrieu's approvals are only mediocre and the state clearly has a lot of potential Republicans who could have run and been very tough to beat like Dardenne.

    •  Landrieu is absolutely hoping (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen, JBraden

      that both John Fleming and Landry run. Fleming would run a terrible campaign. He has no real supporters in the Republican Party establishment, but he is a big Baptist, North Louisiana idealogue. He's rich, arrogant, and really disconnected from regular voters. He also has relatively little seniority, and no name recognition outside of Northwest LA, and I think Landrieu would still crush him in Caddo, where he's not popular, and probably beat him in Nachidotches, Bienville, and Red River Parishes which are the rural heart and Democratic core of his district.

      "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

      by ArkDem14 on Mon Mar 18, 2013 at 03:04:19 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  But you're also very wrong in your impression (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, James Allen, DCCyclone, JBraden

      Landrieu's approval ratings are not mediocre; they are absolutely fucking fantastic, according to Southern Media and Opinion Research (I know PPP had them more middling, but PPP gave Landrieu the lowest approval ratings in that poll of any poll I have seen in the last 2 years), Landrieu is the most popular politician in the state with a  62% approval rating in their polls.

      Second, the Republicans actually don't have many strong candidates considering. Most are considering the gubernatorial race, partially because there is a lot of pessimism in Republican circles that Landrieu can be beaten, which is a stark turn around from the rampant overconfidence (to the point of completely writing off her reelection chances), that Republicans had (and got burned by), in 2002 and 2008.

      "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

      by ArkDem14 on Mon Mar 18, 2013 at 03:20:06 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  How does she get away with it? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ArkDem14

        I mean she's somewhat moderate but not really a conservadem.  She usually goes along with the party and seems well left of the state of Louisiana.  Is she really THAT good at constituent services?

        •  Steve Schmitz could lecture a blue streak on that (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          ArkDem14

          Offhand, what comes to my mind, is her unshakeable support of oil and gas.

          "...and as I learned higher joys, so I learned neither to harm, nor to wish harm upon others." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

          by KingofSpades on Mon Mar 18, 2013 at 07:39:27 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  She's good at politics, (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          gabjoh, jncca, sacman701

          good at moderate posturing and backing the important Louisiana industries: fishing, oil & gas, and farming (specifically sugar). She's very effective at providing for local projects, and generally still well liked after Katrina highlighted her profile, put her in the spot light, and helped her build up her rapport in South Louisiana particularly the NOLA suburbs.

          "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

          by ArkDem14 on Mon Mar 18, 2013 at 08:15:46 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

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